Winterthur II vs Luzern II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
45.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
TUG
3 - 1
WIN
77%
15%
9%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 0
WIN
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
WIN
1 - 2
STG
34%
23%
43%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SCH
3 - 0
WIN
69%
19%
13%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
FCB
5 - 3
WIN
35%
24%
41%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
LUZ
3 - 2
STG
47%
23%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SCH
3 - 0
LUZ
62%
21%
17%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LUZ
4 - 3
FCB
58%
20%
22%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
GCB
0 - 1
LUZ
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
FCM
4 - 1
LUZ
21%
22%
58%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | -2 |