Winterthur II vs Linth 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
12.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
11º
4º
25
10º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
1º
|
69.5% | |
|
1º
|
53 | 56 |
2º
|
44% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 52 |
3º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
52.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
41% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
10º
|
49% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 37 |
11º
|
54.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
12º
|
41% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 33 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 32 |
14º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
25 | 28 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 25 |
16º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 14% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 86% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
KRE
0 - 2
WIN
57%
21%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
WIN
5 - 1
TAV
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
ESC
4 - 1
WIN
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
WIN
1 - 2
FCW
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
YFJ
1 - 3
WIN
63%
19%
18%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Linth 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
LIN
3 - 2
KRE
17%
20%
63%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
TAV
0 - 2
LIN
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
LIN
0 - 3
ESC
34%
24%
42%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
FCW
1 - 0
LIN
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
YFJ
1 - 1
LIN
82%
12%
7%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |