Winterthur II vs Biaschesi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
BAD
0 - 2
WIN
69%
19%
13%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
ESC
3 - 2
WIN
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
WIN
4 - 0
LUG
43%
23%
34%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
TUG
3 - 1
WIN
74%
16%
11%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
WIN
1 - 1
LUZ
23%
23%
54%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Biaschesi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
GCB
1 - 1
LUG
56%
22%
23%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
TUG
1 - 1
GCB
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
GCB
2 - 1
LUZ
28%
24%
48%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
SCB
4 - 1
GCB
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
GCB
5 - 0
FCG
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |