Non League Premier Isthmian. Jor. 25

Wingate & Finchley vs Whitehawk analysis

Wingate & Finchley Whitehawk
44 ELO 41
5.7% Tilt 1.7%
5205º General ELO ranking 6090º
223º Country ELO ranking 284º
ELO win probability
44.3%
Wingate & Finchley
24.5%
Draw
31.2%
Whitehawk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
Wingate & Finchley
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31.2%
Win probability
Whitehawk
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Wingate & Finchley
+33%
+8%
Whitehawk

Points and table prediction

Wingate & Finchley
Their league position
Whitehawk
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
76
21º
65
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
AFC Hornchurch
100
100
100%
Chatham Town
79
79
100%
Enfield Town
77
77
100%
Wingate & Finchley
76
76
100%
Horsham
76
76
100%
Billericay Town
73
73
100%
Hastings United
67
67
100%
Lewes
67
67
100%
Whitehawk
65
65
100%
Carshalton Athletic
11º
62
62
10º
0%
Bognor Regis Town
10º
62
62
11º
0%
Dulwich Hamlet FC
12º
62
62
12º
0%
Hashtag United
13º
59
59
13º
100%
Canvey Island
14º
54
54
14º
100%
Potters Bar Town
15º
51
51
15º
100%
Folkestone Invicta
16º
50
50
16º
0%
Cray Wanderers
17º
50
50
17º
0%
Cheshunt
18º
43
43
18º
100%
Margate
19º
39
39
19º
100%
Haringey Borough
20º
27
27
20º
100%
Concord Rangers
21º
26
26
21º
100%
Kingstonian
22º
21
21
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
Wingate & Finchley
Whitehawk
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Wingate & Finchley
Whitehawk
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Wingate & Finchley
Wingate & Finchley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jan. 2024
FOL
Folkestone Invicta
1 - 1
Wingate & Finchley
WIN
29%
24%
47%
42 35 7 0
01 Jan. 2024
WIN
Wingate & Finchley
3 - 2
Cheshunt
CHE
58%
22%
20%
42 37 5 0
30 Dec. 2023
KIN
Kingstonian
1 - 2
Wingate & Finchley
WIN
20%
20%
60%
42 28 14 0
26 Dec. 2023
POT
Potters Bar Town
3 - 2
Wingate & Finchley
WIN
32%
25%
43%
44 39 5 -2
16 Dec. 2023
WIN
Wingate & Finchley
2 - 0
Concord Rangers
CON
65%
20%
15%
43 36 7 +1

Matches

Whitehawk
Whitehawk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jan. 2024
WHI
Whitehawk
3 - 2
Margate
MAR
61%
23%
16%
43 35 8 0
01 Jan. 2024
HOR
Horsham
0 - 1
Whitehawk
WHI
68%
19%
14%
42 50 8 +1
30 Dec. 2023
WHI
Whitehawk
0 - 1
Billericay Town
BIL
25%
26%
49%
43 49 6 -1
26 Dec. 2023
WHI
Whitehawk
1 - 2
Lewes
LEW
32%
25%
43%
44 45 1 -1
16 Dec. 2023
CAR
Carshalton Athletic
2 - 1
Whitehawk
WHI
30%
25%
45%
46 38 8 -2
X