Wingate & Finchley vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
47.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
BOG
3 - 1
WIN
70%
18%
13%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
WIN
2 - 0
GRA
57%
21%
22%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
GRA
1 - 1
WIN
26%
23%
51%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
BIL
3 - 0
WIN
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
WIN
4 - 0
TON
26%
24%
50%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +5 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
MER
0 - 5
OXF
19%
22%
58%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
WAL
0 - 5
MER
19%
21%
60%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
MER
1 - 1
BIL
53%
22%
25%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
MER
3 - 1
FOL
60%
21%
20%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
MER
2 - 1
EBB
25%
25%
50%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | +3 |