Wingate & Finchley vs Ilford FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
12.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
WAL
3 - 2
WIN
53%
23%
25%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
AVE
2 - 1
WIN
37%
26%
37%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
WIN
3 - 2
DAR
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
BOR
1 - 2
WIN
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
WIN
4 - 2
WAL
43%
25%
33%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Ilford FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
ILF
0 - 2
DAR
27%
25%
48%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2006 |
BOR
4 - 2
ILF
82%
12%
6%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
ILF
0 - 2
BAR
27%
24%
49%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
ILF
1 - 3
WAL
31%
26%
43%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
STA
5 - 0
ILF
70%
19%
12%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |