Wingate & Finchley vs Havant & Waterlooville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
57.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
HAR
3 - 0
WIN
69%
18%
14%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
YEL
2 - 2
WIN
76%
15%
9%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
WIN
1 - 0
HEN
43%
23%
34%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
WIN
1 - 2
BIL
25%
23%
52%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
TON
3 - 0
WIN
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Havant & Waterlooville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
HAV
1 - 0
LOW
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
MET
1 - 2
HAV
18%
23%
59%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
HAV
1 - 0
FOL
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
HAV
3 - 1
LEA
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
LEI
3 - 1
HAV
32%
26%
42%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -2 |