Wingate & Finchley vs Hastings United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
WIN
1 - 2
LEW
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
CON
1 - 1
WIN
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
WIN
3 - 3
EAS
27%
23%
51%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
WIN
2 - 2
MAR
47%
24%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
AVE
1 - 2
WIN
21%
23%
56%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Hastings United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
HAS
1 - 1
CAN
30%
26%
44%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
HOR
0 - 1
HAS
64%
22%
14%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 0
HAS
66%
20%
15%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
HAS
2 - 0
LOW
15%
22%
64%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | +6 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
HOR
1 - 2
HAS
32%
25%
43%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |