Wingate & Finchley vs Erith & Belvedere analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
WIN
1 - 1
LEI
40%
25%
35%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
BAR
6 - 2
WIN
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
WIN
0 - 2
BAE
26%
25%
49%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
AVE
2 - 1
WIN
54%
23%
24%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2004 |
WIN
1 - 1
ARL
57%
22%
21%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Erith & Belvedere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
ERI
1 - 1
SIT
36%
24%
40%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
AVE
1 - 0
ERI
68%
19%
14%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
ERI
3 - 2
HAR
34%
24%
42%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
ERI
2 - 4
ARL
43%
24%
33%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2004 |
ERI
0 - 2
BER
26%
23%
51%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |