Non League Div One Isthmian North Round 11

Wingate & Finchley vs Dartford analysis

Wingate & Finchley Dartford
35 ELO 44
0.5% Tilt -5.1%
7125º General ELO ranking 5553º
273º Country ELO ranking 182º
ELO win probability
32.1%
Wingate & Finchley
25.3%
Draw
42.6%
Dartford

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
Wingate & Finchley
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
42.6%
Win probability
Dartford
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Wingate & Finchley
-34%
+52%
Dartford

ELO progression

Wingate & Finchley
Dartford
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Wingate & Finchley
Wingate & Finchley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Oct. 2007
WIN
Wingate & Finchley
3 - 2
Ilford FC
ILF
67%
19%
14%
37 25 12 0
27 Oct. 2007
YEL
AFC Sudbury
3 - 0
Wingate & Finchley
WIN
61%
21%
17%
38 43 5 -1
20 Oct. 2007
WIN
Wingate & Finchley
3 - 0
Enfield Town
ENF
23%
23%
54%
34 46 12 +4
16 Oct. 2007
WIN
Wingate & Finchley
2 - 0
Arlesey Town
ARL
46%
26%
28%
33 34 1 +1
13 Oct. 2007
WIV
Wivenhoe Town FC
1 - 1
Wingate & Finchley
WIN
41%
27%
33%
33 28 5 0

Matches

Dartford
Dartford
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Oct. 2007
TIL
Tilbury
1 - 2
Dartford
DAR
30%
24%
46%
42 34 8 0
27 Oct. 2007
DAR
Dartford
4 - 0
Potters Bar Town
POT
72%
17%
11%
41 31 10 +1
16 Oct. 2007
DAR
Dartford
3 - 0
Great Wakering Rovers
GRE
64%
21%
16%
41 35 6 0
26 Sep. 2007
ILF
Ilford FC
0 - 1
Dartford
DAR
16%
21%
63%
40 25 15 +1
22 Sep. 2007
DAR
Dartford
1 - 0
AFC Sudbury
YEL
43%
25%
32%
39 44 5 +1