Wingate & Finchley vs Bury Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
30%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
EAS
0 - 0
WIN
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
HAM
1 - 4
WIN
49%
24%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
WIN
3 - 4
LEI
52%
22%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
WIN
5 - 0
BIL
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
LEI
0 - 2
WIN
58%
22%
20%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Bury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
BUR
1 - 1
ENF
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
BUR
0 - 0
WHI
53%
23%
25%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
HEN
2 - 0
BUR
39%
24%
37%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
THA
4 - 2
BUR
31%
23%
46%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -3 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
BUR
1 - 2
LOW
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |