Windsor Arch Ka I vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
24.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Windsor Arch Ka I
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 6
WAK
39%
23%
38%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
WAK
2 - 1
BEN
60%
20%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
HNM
0 - 10
WAK
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
WAK
2 - 0
GLP
54%
20%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
GDA
0 - 13
WAK
40%
22%
38%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
MCA
4 - 3
LLM
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
FCP
2 - 1
MCA
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2012 |
KTM
0 - 3
MCA
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MCA
3 - 0
MAC
59%
20%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
MCA
1 - 2
MAC
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |