Wincrange vs Bastendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
22.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wincrange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ATE
1 - 0
WIN
76%
15%
9%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
JEU
0 - 0
WIN
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
WIN
1 - 0
ORA
31%
24%
45%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
AVE
2 - 0
WIN
79%
14%
7%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
WIN
1 - 2
ATE
19%
21%
61%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Bastendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 2
ORA
40%
23%
37%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
LOR
3 - 1
BAS
61%
20%
20%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
BAS
2 - 2
MAR
17%
19%
64%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
MLI
0 - 2
BAS
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 1
MER
51%
22%
27%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |