Wincrange vs Bastendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wincrange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
JEU
4 - 1
WIN
61%
21%
19%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
WIN
1 - 2
BBM
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
FCA
4 - 3
WIN
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
WIN
0 - 3
YBD
39%
25%
36%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
JGI
1 - 2
WIN
33%
24%
43%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Bastendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
BAS
2 - 3
DCE
46%
24%
31%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
GRE
3 - 2
BAS
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
BAS
5 - 0
ORA
73%
17%
10%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
BBM
3 - 0
BAS
56%
21%
23%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
WIN
5 - 0
BAS
45%
24%
31%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |