Wimborne Town vs Merthyr Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
45.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wimborne Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
WIM
1 - 1
BIS
44%
23%
32%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
CLE
3 - 1
WIM
33%
23%
44%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
PAU
0 - 3
WIM
54%
21%
24%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
WIM
2 - 2
CIR
51%
22%
27%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
WIM
3 - 3
BAN
39%
23%
38%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
MER
0 - 1
PAU
67%
19%
15%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
MER
3 - 2
ABI
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
BIS
2 - 3
MER
27%
25%
48%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
CLE
1 - 2
MER
23%
22%
55%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
MER
1 - 0
CHA
62%
20%
18%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |