Willy Serrato vs Sport Victoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willy Serrato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 0
WIL
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
WIL
2 - 2
UNI
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
LOS
1 - 1
WIL
35%
28%
38%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
WIL
0 - 0
SAN
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
AUN
2 - 1
WIL
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sport Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
SBO
2 - 2
SPO
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 2
ATL
40%
28%
32%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 1
SPO
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 0
UNI
30%
28%
41%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
WAL
0 - 0
SPO
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |