Willisau vs Kickers Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.6%
15.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willisau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
WIL
5 - 1
ESC
68%
16%
16%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
FCP
3 - 1
WIL
87%
9%
4%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
WIL
3 - 1
BRU
65%
17%
18%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
FCA
2 - 1
WIL
43%
22%
35%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
WIL
5 - 2
SAR
68%
16%
16%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Kickers Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
HER
4 - 1
LUZ
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
LUZ
3 - 4
LUG
24%
23%
53%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
IBA
2 - 0
LUZ
45%
24%
32%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
LUZ
0 - 4
TAV
32%
24%
45%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
PER
1 - 1
LUZ
48%
21%
31%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |