Willisau vs Ibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
53.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willisau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
HER
3 - 0
WIL
69%
16%
14%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 3
HOC
50%
21%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
TEA
1 - 1
WIL
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
ASC
2 - 2
WIL
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
WIL
7 - 2
KUS
55%
20%
25%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
IBA
0 - 0
ASC
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 2
IBA
28%
25%
47%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ESC
0 - 1
IBA
35%
25%
40%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
IBA
1 - 1
TAV
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
IBA
1 - 1
LUZ
77%
16%
8%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | -1 |