Willisau vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16.8%
18.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willisau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
EMM
2 - 2
WIL
45%
21%
35%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
FCC
0 - 2
WIL
33%
21%
46%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
WIL
5 - 1
PER
68%
16%
16%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
FCS
2 - 5
WIL
47%
20%
33%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
WIL
3 - 1
IBA
51%
20%
28%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
NOV
0 - 1
HER
60%
19%
21%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
HER
4 - 1
BRU
67%
17%
16%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
SAR
0 - 1
HER
35%
22%
43%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
HER
0 - 1
LUZ
49%
22%
29%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
EMM
4 - 2
HER
60%
19%
22%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |