Willisau vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
58.9%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willisau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
HOC
0 - 5
WIL
62%
19%
19%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
WIL
1 - 2
TEA
21%
21%
59%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 2
WIL
66%
19%
16%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
HOC
5 - 2
WIL
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
WIL
0 - 0
IBA
36%
23%
41%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
HER
3 - 1
ASC
64%
19%
18%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
ESC
5 - 4
HER
28%
23%
49%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
HER
2 - 1
TAV
52%
21%
27%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
RUS
2 - 5
HER
24%
22%
54%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
HER
1 - 2
IBA
52%
23%
25%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |