Willem II vs VVV Venlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
HER
4 - 1
WIL
34%
24%
42%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
WIL
0 - 1
FEY
19%
22%
60%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
WIL
2 - 1
FCE
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 3
WIL
26%
24%
51%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
WIL
0 - 2
VIT
31%
25%
44%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
VVV Venlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
VVV
2 - 1
GRO
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
ADO
1 - 0
VVV
47%
24%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
UTR
1 - 2
VVV
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
VVV
1 - 4
AJA
8%
15%
77%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2019 |
SPA
4 - 1
VVV
36%
25%
39%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |