Willem II vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
32.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2007 |
WIL
4 - 2
GRA
39%
24%
38%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
RJC
2 - 1
WIL
65%
21%
15%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
WIL
0 - 2
NAC
43%
24%
33%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
WIL
2 - 1
EXC
52%
23%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
PSV
4 - 0
WIL
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
VIT
3 - 2
GRO
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2006 |
HER
2 - 2
VIT
38%
27%
36%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 1
VIT
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 2006 |
VIT
4 - 2
AJA
18%
22%
60%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
RJC
2 - 4
VIT
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |