Willem II vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 2
WIL
76%
17%
8%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
HER
3 - 1
WIL
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 4
VIT
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
WIL
2 - 1
MLL
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 1
GEN
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
RJC
0 - 1
VIT
30%
26%
45%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
AJA
2 - 2
RJC
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
RJC
1 - 1
HER
30%
26%
44%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
BIR
0 - 0
RJC
45%
24%
31%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
RJC
3 - 1
MLL
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |