Eredivisie Round 17

Willem II vs Roda JC analysis

Willem II Roda JC
76 ELO 68
11.7% Tilt 1.3%
425º General ELO ranking 781º
15º Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
59.6%
Willem II
21.7%
Draw
18.7%
Roda JC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
Willem II
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.7%
Win probability
Roda JC
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Willem II
-21%
-11%
Roda JC

ELO progression

Willem II
Roda JC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Willem II
Willem II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Dec. 2015
FEY
Feyenoord
2 - 1
Willem II
WIL
58%
23%
19%
75 81 6 0
12 Dec. 2015
ADO
ADO Den Haag
1 - 1
Willem II
WIL
41%
27%
33%
75 71 4 0
06 Dec. 2015
WIL
Willem II
3 - 0
Cambuur
BVO
59%
22%
20%
75 68 7 0
28 Nov. 2015
TWE
Twente
1 - 3
Willem II
WIL
47%
26%
27%
74 74 0 +1
21 Nov. 2015
WIL
Willem II
2 - 2
PSV
PSV
22%
22%
56%
74 83 9 0

Matches

Roda JC
Roda JC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Dec. 2015
RJC
Roda JC
3 - 1
Heerenveen
SCH
22%
21%
57%
66 78 12 0
12 Dec. 2015
PSV
PSV
1 - 1
Roda JC
RJC
76%
16%
8%
65 84 19 +1
06 Dec. 2015
RJC
Roda JC
0 - 0
Groningen
GRO
27%
25%
48%
66 76 10 -1
28 Nov. 2015
SCH
Heerenveen
3 - 0
Roda JC
RJC
67%
19%
14%
66 78 12 0
21 Nov. 2015
RJC
Roda JC
0 - 5
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
31%
27%
42%
67 76 9 -1