Willem II vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
58.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
ALM
1 - 2
WIL
23%
25%
52%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
WIL
4 - 0
TEL
81%
13%
6%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
WIL
3 - 2
FCE
74%
16%
10%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
EIN
0 - 3
WIL
37%
25%
38%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 2
WIL
47%
24%
29%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
SKN
2 - 3
PSV
15%
21%
64%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
BOS
1 - 0
PSV
14%
21%
65%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
PSV
1 - 0
SKN
79%
14%
7%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2014 |
EIN
0 - 3
PSV
16%
20%
64%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2014 |
AUS
1 - 2
PSV
34%
24%
41%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |