Willem II vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
60.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
HER
1 - 0
WIL
52%
24%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
WIL
1 - 3
AZA
22%
22%
56%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
WIL
5 - 0
GRO
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
SPA
3 - 2
WIL
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
WIL
2 - 0
NAC
44%
24%
32%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
PSV
2 - 0
AZA
59%
23%
19%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
PSV
1 - 0
NEC
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
AJA
0 - 0
PSV
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
LYO
4 - 0
PSV
55%
23%
22%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
PSV
4 - 1
SCH
67%
20%
13%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | +1 |