Willem II vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
55.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2005 |
AJA
2 - 0
WIL
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
WIL
4 - 1
GRA
73%
17%
11%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
GRO
1 - 1
WIL
41%
27%
33%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
WIL
2 - 1
BOS
67%
19%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
VIT
2 - 0
WIL
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2005 |
PSV
1 - 1
LYO
43%
26%
31%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
PSV
3 - 0
BOS
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2005 |
LYO
1 - 1
PSV
55%
23%
22%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
PSV
2 - 0
UTR
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
AJA
0 - 4
PSV
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |