Willem II vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
48.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2001 |
GRO
1 - 0
WIL
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
WIL
3 - 1
NEC
75%
16%
10%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2001 |
FOR
4 - 1
WIL
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
WIL
3 - 0
RBC
86%
10%
4%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
WIL
3 - 0
GRO
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2001 |
PSV
3 - 2
BOS
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
GRO
2 - 2
PSV
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
PSV
3 - 2
TWE
82%
12%
7%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
NEC
2 - 4
PSV
19%
23%
58%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2001 |
PSV
0 - 1
TWE
76%
16%
9%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | -1 |