Willem II vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
36.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
FOR
1 - 3
WIL
58%
20%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
WIL
0 - 1
NAC
56%
20%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
FEY
0 - 2
WIL
85%
9%
6%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
WIL
3 - 0
FCB
59%
19%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
WIL
0 - 1
AJA
30%
21%
49%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
PSV
2 - 2
AJA
38%
21%
40%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
VOL
3 - 1
PSV
23%
21%
56%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
PSV
2 - 1
MVV
76%
14%
10%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
GRO
3 - 2
PSV
35%
23%
42%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
PSV
2 - 1
DWS
71%
16%
13%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |