Willem II vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
SPA
2 - 1
WIL
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
UTR
1 - 0
WIL
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
WIL
3 - 1
VIT
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
WIL
0 - 3
PSV
22%
25%
53%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
RJC
0 - 1
WIL
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
HER
0 - 1
FEY
25%
25%
51%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 0
HER
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
HER
3 - 2
AZA
16%
22%
62%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
HER
1 - 1
UTR
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 0
HER
59%
23%
19%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |