Willem II vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
48.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
GRO
1 - 0
WIL
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
DEL
2 - 1
WIL
8%
17%
75%
|
70 | 37 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
WIL
2 - 1
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
FEY
1 - 2
WIL
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
GAE
1 - 0
WIL
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SCH
1 - 0
PSV
35%
24%
42%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
RJC
2 - 1
SCH
26%
23%
51%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 1
SCH
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
AZA
0 - 1
SCH
38%
25%
37%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
SCH
3 - 1
UTR
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |