Willem II vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
25.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2000 |
AZA
2 - 2
WIL
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2000 |
FOR
2 - 0
WIL
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
WIL
2 - 1
FEY
34%
24%
43%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2000 |
WIL
1 - 2
AZA
60%
19%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
AJA
3 - 1
WIL
76%
15%
9%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
SCH
3 - 0
FEY
30%
25%
46%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
TWE
2 - 0
SCH
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
UTR
2 - 2
SCH
32%
25%
43%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
SCH
0 - 3
PSV
25%
23%
52%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
SCH
3 - 0
AZA
53%
23%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |