Willem II vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
9.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 0
WIL
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
WIL
0 - 0
HER
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 1
GRO
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
SCH
3 - 1
WIL
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
NEC
1 - 0
WIL
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
GRA
1 - 1
NEC
19%
24%
56%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
PSV
4 - 2
GRA
81%
13%
6%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
GRA
3 - 1
ADO
23%
24%
53%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
HER
2 - 1
GRA
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
GRA
2 - 0
EXC
28%
25%
47%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |