Willem II vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
36.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
SCH
2 - 1
WIL
42%
25%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
WIL
0 - 3
SPA
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
UTR
5 - 1
WIL
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
RKC
3 - 0
WIL
20%
20%
60%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
WIL
1 - 1
FOR
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
GAE
0 - 1
GRO
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
MEP
0 - 3
GAE
21%
22%
57%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
AJA
0 - 0
GAE
79%
14%
8%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
GAE
4 - 3
FOR
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
ALM
0 - 2
GAE
28%
23%
48%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |