Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
TWE
1 - 1
WIL
37%
26%
38%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
HER
3 - 2
WIL
38%
25%
37%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
WIL
2 - 1
PSV
10%
17%
73%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
RKC
1 - 2
WIL
23%
23%
54%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
WIL
2 - 1
GRO
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 0
BVO
23%
23%
54%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 3
NEC
47%
24%
29%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 1
FOR
65%
20%
14%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 5
AJA
10%
16%
74%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
SCH
1 - 0
FOR
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |