Willem II vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
47.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
WIL
1 - 3
VVD
45%
23%
32%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
DVO
0 - 4
WIL
54%
21%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
WIL
1 - 2
FCB
53%
21%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
ENS
5 - 2
WIL
58%
20%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
WIL
1 - 1
SPA
49%
23%
28%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
FEY
1 - 1
NAC
78%
13%
9%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1962 |
FEY
3 - 1
SER
80%
12%
8%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
VVD
1 - 0
FEY
36%
23%
40%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
FEY
1 - 1
ADO
86%
9%
5%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
DVO
1 - 4
FEY
35%
22%
43%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |