Willem II vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2017 |
VIT
2 - 2
WIL
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
WIL
1 - 1
NAC
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
WIL
3 - 1
HER
34%
25%
41%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
VVV
3 - 3
WIL
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
WIL
2 - 2
SPA
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2017 |
ZWO
1 - 1
AZA
25%
24%
51%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 2
ZWO
40%
26%
35%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2017 |
ZWO
1 - 1
UTR
32%
25%
43%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
SCH
1 - 2
ZWO
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ZWO
0 - 1
PSV
14%
19%
68%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |