Willem II vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1983 |
GRO
4 - 3
WIL
71%
17%
11%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1983 |
AZA
3 - 0
WIL
78%
14%
8%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1983 |
WIL
0 - 0
RJC
47%
25%
29%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1983 |
ZWO
3 - 3
WIL
53%
26%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1983 |
WIL
1 - 0
TWE
29%
26%
44%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1983 |
UTR
0 - 0
AZA
26%
23%
51%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1983 |
TWE
0 - 0
UTR
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1983 |
RJC
3 - 3
UTR
59%
22%
18%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1983 |
UTR
2 - 3
ZWO
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1983 |
UTR
2 - 2
NEC
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |