Willem II vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
15.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2013 |
VOL
0 - 2
WIL
58%
22%
21%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
WIL
2 - 1
FOR
61%
22%
18%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
FCO
0 - 1
WIL
23%
25%
53%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 2
JON
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2013 |
HEL
1 - 4
WIL
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 4
ZWO
29%
24%
47%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2013 |
EXC
2 - 2
FCE
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SPA
1 - 1
EXC
69%
18%
13%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
EXC
2 - 0
FOR
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
ACH
0 - 0
EXC
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |