Willem II vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
43.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2010 |
WIL
0 - 1
GRA
23%
24%
53%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
SCH
5 - 0
WIL
85%
11%
4%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2010 |
WIL
1 - 4
VVV
36%
25%
39%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
RJC
2 - 2
WIL
81%
14%
6%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
WIL
1 - 3
TWE
13%
24%
64%
|
56 | 87 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
EXC
1 - 0
VVV
52%
23%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
PSV
4 - 2
EXC
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
SPA
2 - 1
EXC
20%
23%
57%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
TWE
2 - 1
EXC
76%
16%
8%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
EXC
0 - 2
SCH
32%
25%
44%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |