Willem II vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
24.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
FEY
5 - 1
WIL
82%
12%
6%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
WIL
1 - 1
SPA
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
UTR
2 - 2
WIL
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
WIL
0 - 0
ADO
38%
26%
35%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1979 |
AZA
3 - 1
WIL
78%
14%
8%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
EXC
3 - 1
SPA
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
ADO
1 - 2
EXC
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
EXC
0 - 0
MVV
54%
25%
22%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
PSV
1 - 1
EXC
82%
13%
6%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
EXC
4 - 0
NEC
49%
25%
27%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |