Willem II vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
55%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2008 |
WIL
4 - 0
VIT
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 0
WIL
67%
21%
13%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
RJC
1 - 1
WIL
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2007 |
WIL
3 - 0
NEC
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2007 |
HER
1 - 0
WIL
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2008 |
AZA
1 - 2
NAC
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
SCH
4 - 0
AZA
39%
24%
37%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2008 |
GRA
1 - 2
AZA
25%
23%
52%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
AJA
6 - 1
AZA
60%
21%
19%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2007 |
AZA
1 - 0
HER
77%
16%
8%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |