Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
52.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 0
WIL
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
WIL
3 - 0
HER
59%
22%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
WIL
1 - 0
UTR
46%
24%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
PSV
2 - 1
WIL
68%
20%
13%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 0
WIL
36%
26%
37%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
AJA
1 - 0
WAR
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
AJA
4 - 2
TWE
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
GAE
1 - 2
AJA
21%
23%
57%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
AJA
0 - 1
AZA
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 0
AJA
28%
24%
49%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |