FA Cup . Previa 2

Willand Rovers vs Bristol Manor Farm analysis

Willand Rovers Bristol Manor Farm
18 ELO 20
-0.1% Tilt -4.3%
9679º General ELO ranking 8734º
567º Country ELO ranking 478º
ELO win probability
29%
Willand Rovers
20.8%
Draw
50.2%
Bristol Manor Farm

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
Willand Rovers
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
50.2%
Win probability
Bristol Manor Farm
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO progression

Willand Rovers
Bristol Manor Farm
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Willand Rovers
Willand Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Aug. 2017
CHE
Cheddar
0 - 2
Willand Rovers
WIL
10%
16%
74%
17 7 10 0
10 Aug. 2016
WIL
Willand Rovers
0 - 2
Shepton Mallet
SHE
35%
23%
42%
18 21 3 -1
06 Aug. 2016
SHE
Shepton Mallet
1 - 1
Willand Rovers
WIL
58%
21%
22%
18 21 3 0
15 Aug. 2015
BAR
Barnstaple Town
2 - 0
Willand Rovers
WIL
16%
20%
64%
19 9 10 -1
25 Oct. 2014
WIL
Willand Rovers
1 - 3
Gosport Borough
GOS
17%
22%
62%
20 49 29 -1

Matches

Bristol Manor Farm
Bristol Manor Farm
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Aug. 2017
BRI
Bristol Manor Farm
3 - 3
Shortwood United
SHO
44%
21%
35%
21 24 3 0
12 Aug. 2017
NOR
North Leigh
2 - 5
Bristol Manor Farm
BRI
84%
10%
6%
19 34 15 +2
09 Jul. 2017
BRI
Bristol Manor Farm
0 - 11
Bristol City
BRI
6%
12%
82%
19 64 45 0
09 Aug. 2016
GIL
Gillingham Town
4 - 3
Bristol Manor Farm
BRI
10%
16%
75%
20 7 13 -1
06 Aug. 2016
BRI
Bristol Manor Farm
1 - 1
Gillingham Town
GIL
85%
10%
5%
21 6 15 -1
X