Willand Rovers vs Aveley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
57.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willand Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
WIL
1 - 0
BLA
31%
23%
46%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BLA
0 - 0
WIL
64%
20%
17%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
WIL
2 - 1
SAL
43%
23%
34%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
WIL
0 - 4
LAR
37%
24%
39%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
AVE
0 - 4
THU
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
BRE
3 - 1
AVE
27%
24%
49%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
THU
0 - 2
AVE
45%
25%
30%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 1
AVE
19%
20%
61%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ROM
1 - 3
AVE
40%
24%
36%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |