Wilhelmshaven II vs TuS Bersenbrück analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
62.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+118%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
8º
15º
11º
54
2º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
40 | 40 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 36 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
35 | 35 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wilhelmshaven II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
VFL
0 - 1
WIL
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
WIL
1 - 2
AHA
33%
25%
43%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
WIL
2 - 1
MEC
30%
23%
47%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
MEP
2 - 0
WIL
83%
11%
6%
|
35 | 73 | 38 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
GER
1 - 2
WIL
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
TuS Bersenbrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
TUB
2 - 1
BOR
51%
23%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
LUP
7 - 1
TUB
16%
20%
64%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
TUB
2 - 0
VER
62%
20%
18%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
HEE
5 - 2
TUB
30%
23%
47%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
TUB
2 - 1
SCH
57%
21%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |