FC Wil vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
64.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
FCA
2 - 0
WIL
36%
26%
38%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
WIL
3 - 1
CHI
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SER
2 - 0
WIL
50%
26%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
LAU
2 - 2
WIL
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
WIL
0 - 0
FCV
25%
24%
50%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 1
THU
35%
25%
40%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
FCL
0 - 2
THU
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
THU
2 - 2
ZUR
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
THU
1 - 4
YOB
20%
22%
59%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
GCZ
0 - 2
THU
30%
26%
44%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |