FC Wil vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
WIL
2 - 4
WOH
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 2
WIL
17%
22%
61%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
HEN
2 - 3
WIL
6%
12%
82%
|
69 | 11 | 58 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
WIL
0 - 0
BIE
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
LUG
1 - 1
WIL
43%
25%
32%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
LUG
2 - 1
LAU
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
BIE
0 - 1
LUG
28%
25%
47%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
TAG
3 - 9
LUG
9%
16%
75%
|
67 | 13 | 54 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2014 |
SER
1 - 1
LUG
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
LUG
2 - 1
FIO
28%
28%
45%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | -1 |