FC Wil vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
19.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
WIL
2 - 2
SER
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
WOH
1 - 1
WIL
19%
23%
58%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2013 |
BIE
0 - 2
WIL
46%
23%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
WIL
6 - 3
WIN
39%
25%
35%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
WIL
0 - 0
CHI
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
LUG
2 - 1
WOH
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
LUG
3 - 1
SCH
24%
24%
52%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
WIN
3 - 2
LUG
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
LOC
0 - 0
LUG
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 2
SER
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |