FC Wil vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
SCH
1 - 4
WIL
13%
18%
70%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 3
WIL
27%
26%
47%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
FCV
1 - 2
WIL
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
WIL
2 - 0
BIE
47%
24%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
FCA
4 - 2
WIL
57%
23%
21%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
LUG
0 - 2
THU
32%
25%
42%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
FCV
1 - 0
LUG
45%
25%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 2
WIN
41%
25%
34%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
WOH
1 - 1
LUG
29%
26%
46%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
LUG
0 - 1
BEL
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |